{"id":13908,"date":"2025-11-07T09:00:23","date_gmt":"2025-11-07T01:00:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wrise.com\/%e6%9c%aa%e5%88%86%e9%a1%9e\/%e7%b7%a9%e5%92%8c%e7%9a%84%e7%b7%8a%e5%bc%b5%e6%85%8b%e5%8b%a2%ef%bc%8c%e8%bd%89%e8%ae%8a%e7%9a%84%e8%b6%a8%e5%8b%a2%e8%b5%b0%e5%90%91"},"modified":"2025-11-07T14:51:13","modified_gmt":"2025-11-07T06:51:13","slug":"%e7%b7%a9%e5%92%8c%e7%9a%84%e7%b7%8a%e5%bc%b5%e6%85%8b%e5%8b%a2%ef%bc%8c%e8%bd%89%e8%ae%8a%e7%9a%84%e8%b6%a8%e5%8b%a2%e8%b5%b0%e5%90%91","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wrise.com\/zh-hant\/%e5%b0%88%e5%ae%b6%e6%b4%9e%e8%a6%8b\/%e7%b7%a9%e5%92%8c%e7%9a%84%e7%b7%8a%e5%bc%b5%e6%85%8b%e5%8b%a2%ef%bc%8c%e8%bd%89%e8%ae%8a%e7%9a%84%e8%b6%a8%e5%8b%a2%e8%b5%b0%e5%90%91","title":{"rendered":"\u7de9\u548c\u7684\u7dca\u5f35\u614b\u52e2\uff0c\u8f49\u8b8a\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u8d70\u5411"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"13908\" class=\"elementor elementor-13908 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data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h6><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u5b8f\u89c0\u7d93\u6fdf<\/span><\/h6><p>2025\u5e7410\u6708\u662f\u52d5\u76ea\u4e0d\u5b89\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u6708\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u7dca\u5f35\u5c40\u52e2\u56e0\u4e2d\u570b\u5ba3\u4f48\u5be6\u65bd\u7a00\u571f\u51fa\u53e3\u7ba1\u5236\u800c\u52a0\u5287\uff0c\u4f46\u5169\u570b\u8fd1\u671f\u5728\u97d3\u570b\u5cf0\u6703\u4e0a\u9054\u6210\u5354\u8b70\uff0c\u540c\u610f\u66ab\u7de9\u5be6\u65bd\u8a72\u7ba1\u5236\u63aa\u65bd\u4e26\u5efa\u7acb\u70ba\u671f\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u4f11\u6230\u671f\u3002 [1]<a href=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-NovemberMarket-Update-2025-Fig-1.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13827\" src=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-NovemberMarket-Update-2025-Fig-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"572\" height=\"448\" srcset=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-NovemberMarket-Update-2025-Fig-1.png 572w, https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-NovemberMarket-Update-2025-Fig-1-300x235.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 572px) 100vw, 572px\" \/><\/a><\/p><p>\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u5171\u548c\u9ee8\u8207\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u672a\u80fd\u5c31\u901a\u904e\u4e00\u9805\u70ba\u653f\u5e9c\u670d\u52d9\u63d0\u4f9b\u8cc7\u91d1\u7684\u6cd5\u6848\u9054\u6210\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u653f\u5e9c\u670d\u52d9\u5728<sup>10\u67081\u65e5<\/sup>\u4e4b\u5f8c\u88ab\u8feb\u505c\u64fa\u3002\u9019\u4f7f\u5f97\u95dc\u9375\u7d93\u6fdf\u8cc7\u6599\u7684\u767c\u4f48\u88ab\u8feb\u66ab\u505c\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6708\u5ea6\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\uff0c\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u72c0\u6cc1\u589e\u6dfb\u4e86\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3002[3] 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<\/p><p>\u6b50\u5143\u534010\u6708\u5546\u696d\u6d3b\u52d5\u589e\u901f\u527517\u500b\u6708\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u63a1\u8cfc\u7d93\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6578\uff08PMI\uff09\u5f9e9\u6708\u768451.2\u5347\u81f352.2\u3002\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u6700\u5927\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u5fb7\u570b\u7684\u7522\u51fa\u5be6\u73fe\u7a69\u5065\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u800c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u6cd5\u570b\u5247\u9023\u7e8c\u7b2c\u5341\u56db\u500b\u6708\u51fa\u73fe\u7522\u51fa\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u9019\u4e3b\u8981\u6e90\u65bc\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u6301\u7e8c\u5b58\u5728\u3002[4] \u5118\u7ba1\u7d93\u6fdf\u5f37\u52c1\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u5546\u696d\u4fe1\u5fc3\u5df2\u964d\u81f3\u4e94\u500b\u6708\u4f4e\u9ede\uff0c\u4e14\u4f4e\u65bc\u8a72\u7cfb\u5217\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u6e96\uff0c\u5fb7\u570b\u548c\u6cd5\u570b\u7684\u5546\u696d\u60c5\u7dd2\u4ecd\u76f8\u5c0d\u4f4e\u8ff7\u3002    [5]<\/p><p>\u4e2d\u570b\u7b2c\u5341\u4e94\u500b\u4e94\u5e74\u898f\u5283\uff082026-2030\u5e74\uff09\u6a19\u8a8c\u8457\u653f\u7b56\u91cd\u9ede\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u8abf\u6574\uff0c\u5f9e\u4ee5\u5f80\u5074\u91cd\u79d1\u6280\u5275\u65b0\u8f49\u5411\u91cd\u65b0\u5f37\u8abf\u7522\u696d\u767c\u5c55\u8207\u73fe\u4ee3\u5316\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u9ee8\u4ee3\u6703\u516c\u5831\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5275\u65b0\u5c07\u670d\u52d9\u65bc\u5de5\u696d\u76ee\u6a19\uff0c\u9019\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u5317\u4eac\u65b9\u9762\u65e8\u5728\u5f37\u5316\u6230\u7565\u6027\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u3001\u5347\u7d1a\u50b3\u7d71\u7522\u696d\u3001\u6253\u9020\u5148\u9032\u7522\u696d\u96c6\u7fa4\u2014\u2014\u5c24\u5176\u5728\u534a\u5c0e\u9ad4\u3001\u7da0\u8272\u6280\u8853\u548c\u667a\u6167\u88fd\u9020\u9818\u57df\u2014\u2014\u4f5c\u70ba\u9ad8\u54c1\u8cea\u589e\u9577\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u9a45\u52d5\u529b\u3002  [6]<\/p><p>\u8207\u6b64\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u8a72\u8a08\u756b\u5f37\u8abf\u64f4\u5927\u5167\u9700\u548c\u6d88\u8cbb\u5347\u7d1a\u662f\u62b5\u6d88\u51fa\u53e3\u548c\u6295\u8cc7\u653e\u7de9\u7684\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u652f\u6490\u3002\u9019\u69cb\u6210\u4e86\u201c\u96d9\u8ff4\u5708\u201d\u6230\u7565\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u968e\u6bb5\uff0c\u610f\u5728\u5f37\u5316\u5c45\u6c11\u6536\u5165\u6539\u9769\u3001\u5b8c\u5584\u793e\u6703\u670d\u52d9\u3001\u57f9\u80b2\u9ad8\u50f9\u503c\u6d88\u8cbb\u9818\u57df\u4ee5\u7a69\u5b9a\u5167\u9700\u3002  [7]<\/p><p>\u9810\u8a082025-2034\u5e74\u9593\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u5c07\u4ee5\u5e74\u57473.8%\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u5176\u589e\u9577\u6a21\u5f0f\u5c07\u5f9e\u5275\u65b0\u9a45\u52d5\u578b\u64f4\u5f35\u8f49\u5411\u570b\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5c0e\u7684\u7522\u696d\u5347\u7d1a\u3002\u5c0d\u5148\u9032\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u548c\u7da0\u8272\u6280\u8853\u7684\u91cd\u91d1\u6295\u5165\u5c07\u589e\u5f37\u81ea\u4e3b\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u56de\u5831\u7684\u514c\u73fe\u901f\u5ea6\u5c07\u6162\u65bc\u4ee5\u5f80\u57fa\u790e\u8a2d\u65bd\u6216\u623f\u5730\u7522\u9a45\u52d5\u7684\u9031\u671f\u3002\u52a0\u4e4b\u76e3\u7ba1\u8da8\u56b4\u548c\u5be9\u614e\u7684\u8ca1\u653f\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u9019\u5c07\u5e36\u4f86\u7a69\u5b9a\u4f46\u653e\u7de9\u7684\u589e\u9577\u52e2\u982d\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5feb\u901f\u52a0\u901f\u3002[8]   <\/p><p>\u570b\u5167\u6d88\u8cbb\u53ef\u80fd\u6301\u7e8c\u4f4e\u8ff7\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u6536\u5165\u548c\u798f\u5229\u6539\u9769\u9700\u8981\u6642\u9593\u624d\u80fd\u63d0\u632f\u5bb6\u5ead\u652f\u51fa\u3002\u9ad8\u5132\u84c4\u7387\u3001\u75b2\u8edf\u7684\u623f\u5730\u7522\u884c\u696d\u4ee5\u53ca\u6709\u9650\u7684\u4fe1\u8cb8\u9700\u6c42\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u77ed\u671f\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u5728\u793e\u6703\u4fdd\u969c\u9ad4\u7cfb\u548c\u5de5\u8cc7\u589e\u9577\u986f\u8457\u6539\u5584\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u6216\u6709\u52a9\u65bc\u7d93\u6fdf\u4f01\u7a69\uff0c\u4f46\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u96e3\u4ee5\u6210\u70ba\u589e\u9577\u4e3b\u5f15\u64ce\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u672a\u4f86\u4e94\u5e74\u6574\u9ad4\u64f4\u5f35\u4ecd\u5c07\u4fdd\u6301\u6eab\u548c\u614b\u52e2\u3002[9]   <\/p><p><a href=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-NovemberMarket-Update-2025-Fig-2.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13830\" src=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-NovemberMarket-Update-2025-Fig-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"676\" height=\"382\" srcset=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-NovemberMarket-Update-2025-Fig-2.png 676w, https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-NovemberMarket-Update-2025-Fig-2-300x170.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 676px) 100vw, 676px\" \/><\/a><\/p><p>\u570b\u5167\u6d88\u8cbb\u53ef\u80fd\u6301\u7e8c\u4f4e\u8ff7\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u6536\u5165\u548c\u798f\u5229\u6539\u9769\u9700\u8981\u6642\u9593\u624d\u80fd\u63d0\u632f\u5bb6\u5ead\u652f\u51fa\u3002\u9ad8\u5132\u84c4\u7387\u3001\u75b2\u8edf\u7684\u623f\u5730\u7522\u884c\u696d\u4ee5\u53ca\u6709\u9650\u7684\u4fe1\u8cb8\u9700\u6c42\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u77ed\u671f\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u5728\u793e\u6703\u4fdd\u969c\u9ad4\u7cfb\u548c\u5de5\u8cc7\u589e\u9577\u986f\u8457\u6539\u5584\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u6216\u6709\u52a9\u65bc\u7d93\u6fdf\u4f01\u7a69\uff0c\u4f46\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u96e3\u4ee5\u6210\u70ba\u589e\u9577\u4e3b\u5f15\u64ce\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u672a\u4f86\u4e94\u5e74\u6574\u9ad4\u64f4\u5f35\u4ecd\u5c07\u4fdd\u6301\u6eab\u548c\u614b\u52e2\u3002 <\/p><h6><u>\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u5834<\/u><\/h6><p>10\u6708\uff0c\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u518d\u5275\u6b77\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5c0d\u8ca1\u5831\u5b63\u5145\u6eff\u671f\u5f85\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u7dca\u5f35\u5c40\u52e2\u6709\u6240\u7de9\u548c\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9810\u671f\u5347\u6eab\u4e5f\u63a8\u52d5\u4e86\u8a72\u6307\u6578\u4e0a\u6f32\u3002[12]  <\/p><p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-3.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13833\" src=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"646\" height=\"352\" srcset=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-3.png 646w, https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-3-300x163.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 646px) 100vw, 646px\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/p><p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u7684\u5f37\u52c1\u8868\u73fe\u4e3b\u8981\u7531\u79d1\u6280\u4e03\u5de8\u982d\u9a45\u52d5\u3002\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u61c9\u8b66\u60d5\u9019\u4e9b\u516c\u53f8\u4f30\u503c\u504f\u9ad8\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u5c07\u90e8\u5206\u6295\u8cc7\u5f9e\u79d1\u6280\u4e03\u5de8\u982d\u8f49\u5411\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u4e2d\u9664\u79d1\u6280\u4e03\u5de8\u982d\u5916\u7684\u5e02\u503c\u6392\u540d\u524d\u4e8c\u5341\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u3002[14] \u7576\u524d\u5e02\u5834\u74b0\u5883\u8868\u660e\u61c9\u63a1\u53d6\u66f4\u5177\u9632\u79a6\u6027\u4e14\u7565\u986f\u8b39\u614e\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u9019\u4e00\u7acb\u5834\u5f97\u5230\u8fd1\u671f\u9632\u79a6\u578b\u4f01\u696d\u76f8\u5c0d\u65bc\u9031\u671f\u6027\u4f01\u696d\u8868\u73fe\u66f4\u512a\u7684\u652f\u6490\uff1b\u56e0\u6b64\u9632\u79a6\u578b\u80a1\u7968\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u53ef\u80fd\u8fce\u4f86\u589e\u9577\u6a5f\u9047\u3002[15]   <\/p><p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-4.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13836\" src=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-4.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"674\" height=\"368\" srcset=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-4.png 674w, https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-4-300x164.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 674px) 100vw, 674px\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/p><p>\u66f4\u5ee3\u6cdb\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u8da8\u52e2\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u6b50\u6d32\u80a1\u5e02\u666e\u904d\u8dd1\u8f38\u7f8e\u570b\u5e02\u5834\u3002[17] \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u6539\u5584\u53ca\u80a1\u6771\u73fe\u91d1\u56de\u5831\u5f37\u52c1\uff0c\u6b50\u6d32\u80a1\u5e02\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u6708\u6709\u671b\u5be6\u73fe\u589e\u9577\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u8003\u616e\u884c\u696d\u914d\u7f6e\u5dee\u7570\u6216\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u9810\u671f\u5dee\u7570\u9032\u884c\u8abf\u6574\uff0c\u6b50\u6d32\u80a1\u5e02\u76f8\u8f03\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u4ecd\u5b58\u5728\u986f\u8457\u6298\u50f9\u3002\u5728\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u6539\u5584\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u9280\u884c\u7b49\u9031\u671f\u6027\u80a1\u7968\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u8868\u73fe\u826f\u597d\u3002[18]    <\/p><p>\u5728\u4e9e\u6d32\uff0c\u6052\u751f\u6307\u6578\u8868\u73fe\u512a\u65bc\u5927\u76e4\uff0c\u9019\u5f97\u76ca\u65bc\u4e2d\u570b\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u76e3\u7ba1\u58d3\u529b\u7de9\u89e3\u3001\u5916\u8cc7\u6d41\u5165\u589e\u52a0\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u63a8\u52d5\u3002[19] \u96a8\u8457\u4e2d\u570b\u5171\u7522\u9ee8\u5728<sup>\u7b2c\u5341\u4e94\u500b\u4e94\u5e74\u898f\u5283<\/sup>\u671f\u9593\u8457\u529b\u63d0\u5347\u79d1\u6280\u5275\u65b0\u80fd\u529b\u8207\u81ea\u4e3b\u5275\u65b0\u5be6\u529b\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u79d1\u6280\u9818\u57df\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u7e7c\u7e8c\u5275\u9020\u5f37\u52c1\u56de\u5831\u3002[20]\u6d88\u8cbb\u985e\u80a1\u7968\u540c\u6a23\u5177\u6709\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u8a08\u756b\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u4e94\u5e74\u5167\u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u9ad8\u5bb6\u5ead\u6d88\u8cbb\u5360GDP\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u3002[21]   <\/p><h6><u>\u56fa\u5b9a\u6536\u76ca<\/u><\/h6><p>\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u65bc2025\u5e7410\u6708\u5e95\u5982\u9810\u671f\u964d\u606f25\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u81f33.75%-4.00%\u5340\u9593\uff0c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u5f37\u5316\u4e86\u5c0d\u767c\u9054\u5e02\u5834\u6295\u8cc7\u7d1a\u4fe1\u7528\u50b5\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u652f\u6301\u74b0\u5883\u3002\u7136\u800c\u2014\u2014\u4e14\u5c24\u70ba\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\u2014\u2014\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u7684\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u5f15\u66f4\u70ba\u5be9\u614e\uff1a12\u6708\u964d\u606f\u4e26\u975e\u5fc5\u7136\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5c07\u57fa\u65bc\u8cc7\u6599\u8abf\u6574\u800c\u975e\u9810\u8a2d\u8def\u5f91\u3002\u5c0d\u6295\u8cc7\u7d1a\u4fe1\u7528\u50b5\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9019\u610f\u5473\u8457\u5229\u5dee\u6536\u76ca\u908f\u8f2f\u4f9d\u7136\u7a69\u56fa\uff0c\u4f46\u4e45\u671f\u4e0a\u884c\u7a7a\u9593\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0f\u65bc\u6b64\u524d\u9810\u671f\u3002\u96a8\u8457\u5e74\u672b\u81e8\u8fd1\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u7d1a\u4fe1\u7528\u50b5\u4ecd\u4f5c\u70ba\u7d44\u5408\u5c0d\u6c96\u5de5\u5177\u548c\u6536\u76ca\u8cc7\u7522\u5177\u5099\u826f\u597d\u5b9a\u4f4d\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u7576\u5b8f\u89c0\u98a8\u96aa\uff08\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u3001\u901a\u8139\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u505c\u64fa\uff09\u986f\u73fe\u6642\u3002   <\/p><p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-5.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13839\" src=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-5.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"662\" height=\"362\" srcset=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-5.png 662w, https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-5-300x164.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 662px) 100vw, 662px\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/p><p>\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u65bc2025\u5e7410\u6708\u5e95\u5982\u9810\u671f\u964d\u606f25\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u81f33.75%-4.00%\u5340\u9593\uff0c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u5f37\u5316\u4e86\u5c0d\u767c\u9054\u5e02\u5834\u6295\u8cc7\u7d1a\u4fe1\u7528\u50b5\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u652f\u6301\u74b0\u5883\u3002\u7136\u800c\u2014\u2014\u4e14\u5c24\u70ba\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\u2014\u2014\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u7684\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u5f15\u66f4\u70ba\u5be9\u614e\uff1a12\u6708\u964d\u606f\u4e26\u975e\u5fc5\u7136\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5c07\u57fa\u65bc\u8cc7\u6599\u8abf\u6574\u800c\u975e\u9810\u8a2d\u8def\u5f91\u3002\u5c0d\u6295\u8cc7\u7d1a\u4fe1\u7528\u50b5\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9019\u610f\u5473\u8457\u5229\u5dee\u6536\u76ca\u908f\u8f2f\u4f9d\u7136\u7a69\u56fa\uff0c\u4f46\u4e45\u671f\u4e0a\u884c\u7a7a\u9593\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0f\u65bc\u6b64\u524d\u9810\u671f\u3002\u96a8\u8457\u5e74\u672b\u81e8\u8fd1\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u7d1a\u4fe1\u7528\u50b5\u4ecd\u4f5c\u70ba\u7d44\u5408\u5c0d\u6c96\u5de5\u5177\u548c\u6536\u76ca\u8cc7\u7522\u5177\u5099\u826f\u597d\u5b9a\u4f4d\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u7576\u5b8f\u89c0\u98a8\u96aa\uff08\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u3001\u901a\u8139\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u505c\u64fa\uff09\u986f\u73fe\u6642\u3002  <\/p><p>\u4e9e\u6d32\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u6295\u8cc7\u7d1a\u50b5\u5238\uff08EM Asia IG\uff09\u5728\u89e3\u653e\u65e5\u5f8c\u7684\u521d\u671f\u6ce2\u52d5\u5f8c\u5f37\u52e2\u53cd\u5f48\u3002\u5f6d\u535a\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u7f8e\u5143\u7d9c\u5408\u6307\u6578\u4eca\u5e74\u8fc4\u4eca\u56de\u5831\u7387\u9054+10.37%\uff0c\u512a\u65bc\u5f6d\u535a\u7f8e\u570b\u7d9c\u5408\u6307\u6578+6.80%\u7684\u56de\u5831\u7387\uff08\u622a\u81f32025\u5e7411\u67083\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u907f\u958b\u7f8e\u570b\u4e3b\u5c0e\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u591a\u5143\u5316\u914d\u7f6e\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4e9e\u6d32\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u6295\u8cc7\u7d1a\u50b5\u5238\u5c55\u73fe\u76f8\u5c0d\u97cc\u6027\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u56e0\u7d20\u3002[23]  <\/p><p><strong><u><a href=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-6.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13842\" src=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-6.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"558\" height=\"400\" srcset=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-6.png 558w, https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-6-300x215.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 558px) 100vw, 558px\" \/><\/a><\/u><\/strong><\/p><p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u9452\u65bc\u7576\u524d\u5229\u5dee\u6c34\u6e96\u5df2\u76f8\u7576\u7dca\u7e2e\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u5229\u5dee\u58d3\u7e2e\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u4e0a\u884c\u7a7a\u9593\u6709\u9650\uff1b\u5f8c\u7e8c\u8868\u73fe\u5c07\u66f4\u591a\u4f9d\u8cf4\u65bc\u5957\u5229\/\u5c55\u671f\u6536\u76ca\u53ca\u9069\u5ea6\u7684\u5229\u5dee\u97cc\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5927\u5e45\u58d3\u7e2e\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u95dc\u7a05\/\u8cbf\u6613\u98a8\u96aa\u80cc\u666f\u5c0d\u51fa\u53e3\u578b\u4e9e\u6d32\u4f01\u696d\u4ecd\u69cb\u6210\u986f\u8457\u6311\u6230\uff1b\u4efb\u4f55\u4e0d\u5229\u885d\u64ca\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0e\u81f4\u5229\u5dee\u64f4\u5927\u3002[25]  <\/p><h6><u>\u5916\u532f \uff08FX\uff09<\/u><\/h6><p><a href=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-7.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13845\" src=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-7.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"602\" height=\"328\" srcset=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-7.png 602w, https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-7-300x163.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 602px) 100vw, 602px\" \/><\/a><\/p><p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u9452\u65bc\u7576\u524d\u5229\u5dee\u6c34\u6e96\u5df2\u76f8\u7576\u7dca\u7e2e\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u5229\u5dee\u58d3\u7e2e\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u4e0a\u884c\u7a7a\u9593\u6709\u9650\uff1b\u5f8c\u7e8c\u8868\u73fe\u5c07\u66f4\u591a\u4f9d\u8cf4\u65bc\u5957\u5229\/\u5c55\u671f\u6536\u76ca\u53ca\u9069\u5ea6\u7684\u5229\u5dee\u97cc\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5927\u5e45\u58d3\u7e2e\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u95dc\u7a05\/\u8cbf\u6613\u98a8\u96aa\u80cc\u666f\u5c0d\u51fa\u53e3\u578b\u4e9e\u6d32\u4f01\u696d\u4ecd\u69cb\u6210\u986f\u8457\u6311\u6230\uff1b\u4efb\u4f55\u4e0d\u5229\u885d\u64ca\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0e\u81f4\u5229\u5dee\u64f4\u5927\u3002[27]  <\/p><p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-8.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13848\" src=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-8.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"282\" srcset=\"https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-8.png 540w, https:\/\/wrise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-November-Market-Update-2025-Fig-8-300x157.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/p><p>\u5916\u532f\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u4e3b\u8981\u8ca8\u5e63\u76f8\u5c0d\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\u6301\u7e8c\u8d70\u5f31\u3002\u9019\u4e00\u73fe\u8c61\u6e90\u65bc\u653f\u5e9c\u8ca1\u653f\u50b5\u52d9\u6301\u7e8c\u6500\u5347\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5e02\u5834\u731c\u6e2c\u592e\u884c\u5c07\u9762\u81e8\u653f\u6cbb\u58d3\u529b\u800c\u7dad\u6301\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u62b5\u6d88\u653f\u5e9c\u50b5\u52d9\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u5f15\u767c\u8ca8\u5e63\u8cb6\u503c\u4ea4\u6613\u3002\u96a8\u8457\u5168\u7403\u8ca1\u653f\u58d3\u529b\u4e0d\u65b7\u52a0\u5287\uff0c\u6b64\u8da8\u52e2\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0b\u53bb\u3002 [29] <\/p><p>\u5728\u6b50\u6d32\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u532f\u7387\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u8d70\u5f37\uff0c\u56e0\u6b50\u76df\u64f4\u5f35\u6027\u8ca1\u653f\u8209\u63aa\u53ef\u80fd\u5f37\u5316\u6b50\u5143\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u512a\u52e2\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u53ef\u80fd\u52a9\u63a8\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u5340\u57df\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u52a0\u901f\u53ca\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8abf\u7684\u9810\u671f\u3002[30]<br> <\/p><p>\u5728\u4e9e\u6d32\u5730\u5340\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u532f\u7387\u4eca\u5e74\u4ecd\u5c6c\u6ce2\u52d5\u6027\u6700\u4f4e\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u6574\u9ad4\u7dad\u6301\u7a84\u5e45\u9707\u76ea\u683c\u5c40\u3002\u7136\u800c\u96a8\u8457\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5229\u5dee\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u6536\u7a84\uff0c\u4e14\u4e2d\u570b\u4eba\u6c11\u9280\u884c\u5728\u6bcf\u65e5\u532f\u7387\u5b9a\u50f9\u4e2d\u6301\u7e8c\u512a\u5148\u8003\u616e\u532f\u7387\u7a69\u5b9a\u6027\u4e26\u5bb9\u5fcd\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u5347\u503c\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u532f\u7387\u6216\u5c07\u9010\u6b65\u9032\u5165\u5347\u503c\u8ecc\u9053\u3002  [31]<\/p><p>\u53d7\u5e02\u5834\u731c\u6e2c\u65b0\u4e00\u8f2a\u518d\u901a\u8139\u653f\u7b56\u5c07\u58d3\u4f4e\u65e5\u5143\u532f\u7387\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5143\u532f\u7387\u572810\u6708\u98c6\u5347\u81f3150\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u52a0\u606f\u9762\u81e8\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u963b\u529b\u65e5\u76ca\u589e\u5927\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u8da8\u52e2\u4ecd\u4f54\u64da\u4e3b\u5c0e\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5143\u532f\u7387\u5c07\u51fa\u73fe\u56de\u843d\u3002[32]  <\/p><p><strong>\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\ufe30<\/strong><\/p><p>\u53d7\u5e02\u5834\u731c\u6e2c\u65b0\u4e00\u8f2a\u518d\u901a\u8139\u653f\u7b56\u5c07\u58d3\u4f4e\u65e5\u5143\u532f\u7387\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5143\u532f\u7387\u572810\u6708\u98c6\u5347\u81f3150\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u52a0\u606f\u9762\u81e8\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u963b\u529b\u65e5\u76ca\u589e\u5927\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u8da8\u52e2\u4ecd\u4f54\u64da\u4e3b\u5c0e\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5143\u532f\u7387\u5c07\u51fa\u73fe\u56de\u843d\u3002[1] <br><br><br>[1] Why we\u2019re raising our USD\/JPY forecasts | articles | ING Think<br>[4] Eurozone business activity growth hit 17-month high in October | Euractiv<br>[5] PMI by S&amp;P Global<br>[6] China&#8217;s new five-year plan sharpens industry, tech focus as US tensions mount | Reuters<br>[7] A New Blueprint for the 15th Five-Year Plan Period A New Journey for Chinese Modernization&#8211;Keynote Speech by H.E. Ambassador Xie Feng at the \u201cInnovation, Openness, Shared Development\u201d Global Dialogue U.S. Session_Embassy of the People&#8217;s Republic of China in the United States of America<br>[8] China\u2019s Long Term Outlook &#8211; NBS, Bloomberg Economics<br>[9] NBS, Bloomberg Economics<br>[10] NBS, Bloomberg Economics<br>[11] U.S. Will Impose New 100% Tariffs Against China, Trump Says<br>[12] Wall St scales fresh highs on tech earnings, US-China trade optimism | Reuters<br>[13] Tradingview<br>[14] UOB 4Q 2025 Investment Outlook<br>[15] J. Safra Sarasin Cross-Asset Weekly 24 October 2025<br>[16] Tradingview<br>[17] Tradingview<br>[18] European Stocks Are Forecast to Rise 5% After &#8216;Stellar&#8217; Start | Goldman Sachs<br>[19] Why Hong Kong\u2019s Hang Seng Index is Outperforming Global Markets<br>[20] CPC plenum concludes, adopting recommendations for China&#8217;s 15th Five-Year Plan<br>[21] China vows to raise household consumption &#8216;significantly&#8217; | Reuters<br>[22] UOB 4Q 2025 Investment Outlook<br>[23] Bloomberg<br>[24] Bloomberg<br>[25] UOB 4Q 2025 Investment Outlook<br>[26] The Great Debasement Debate Is Rippling Across Global Markets &#8211; Bloomberg<br>[27] The Great Debasement Debate Is Rippling Across Global Markets &#8211; Bloomberg<br>[28] Tradingview<br>[29] UOB 4Q 2025 Investment Outlook<br>[30] UOB 4Q 2025 Investment Outlook<br>[31] Asia FX Talking: Renminbi stable, but rest of the region lags | articles | ING Think<br>[32] Why we\u2019re raising our USD\/JPY forecasts | articles | ING Think<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ace7a90 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"ace7a90\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<section id=\"comp-lff6xaoa\" class=\"Oqnisf comp-lff6xaoa wixui-section\" tabindex=\"-1\" data-block-level-container=\"ClassicSection\">\n<div class=\"\" data-mesh-id=\"comp-lff6xaoainlineContent\" data-testid=\"inline-content\">\n<div data-mesh-id=\"comp-lff6xaoainlineContent-gridContainer\" data-testid=\"mesh-container-content\">\n<div id=\"comp-lff71ua9\" class=\"KcpHeO tz5f0K comp-lff71ua9 wixui-rich-text\" data-testid=\"richTextElement\">\n<p class=\"font_8 wixui-rich-text__text\"><span class=\"color_39 wixui-rich-text__text\"><span class=\"wixui-rich-text__text\">\u514d\u8cac\u8072\u660e: 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